Jessica Pegula is through to the US Open semifinals after a 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 comeback win over Emma Navarro in the women’s singles quarterfinals at Arthur Ashe Stadium. The No. 3 seed flipped the match by tightening up on return and handling the biggest points better across the final two sets. You can revisit the full point-by-point flow, stats and the Sofascore Rating on the Sofascore match page.

Pegula, who served first, finished with 15 games won to Navarro’s 13 and edged the total points battle 111-102. There were no tiebreaks, but plenty of momentum swings on the New York hard court, with each set lasting roughly 49, 47 and 44 minutes respectively.

The top seed in control after a rocky start

Navarro, the No. 26 seed, came out quicker and took the opening set 6-3. She won 27 service points to Pegula’s 17 in that set and converted 2 break points to Pegula’s 1. Both players struggled to keep the cheap errors down early, posting 5 double faults each in the opener. Even so, Pegula collected more receiver points in the first set, 21 to 15, which hinted that the return would become her way back.

From there, Pegula found a steadier gear. She took the second set 6-4 by lifting first-serve points won to 63% versus Navarro’s 54%. In rallies and on return games, the top seed nudged ahead, winning 18 receiver points to 10 in set two. She carried that platform into the decider, where she was the stronger server and the cooler player on break points. The final set went 6-3, secured by a run of 4 straight games at one stage and a big edge on key points saved.

Return pressure decided the margins

The match tilted because Pegula sustained heavier pressure on return, pocketing 53 receiver points to Navarro’s 42 overall. Against first serves, Pegula won 46% of return points across the match, an excellent clip in a Grand Slam quarterfinal. Navarro returned well too at 42% on first-serve returns, but not quite as consistently in the biggest moments. Most strikingly, both players feasted on second serves all night.

Every second-serve point played on serve was lost by the server, with second-serve return points recorded at 7/7 for Pegula and 8/8 for Navarro. That is as ruthless as it sounds and explains why breaks came in clusters. Break-point numbers confirm the theme: Pegula converted 5 chances and saved 8 of 12 against, while Navarro converted 4 and saved 7 of 12. In the third set alone, Pegula saved 6 of 7 break points, the backbone of her closing push. When rallies started on equal terms, Pegula’s return patterns were just a notch sharper.

Serving trends and clutch holds in the decider

Navarro out-aced Pegula 8 to 6 and committed one fewer double fault, 7 to 8. Yet serve quality under pressure is what usually tells, and Pegula held that card late. Across the match she won 58% of first-serve points, compared with Navarro’s 53%. The third set was the clearest split: Pegula won 24 service points to Navarro’s 12, a two-to-one ratio that left little room for a comeback.

Even when Navarro threatened, Pegula kept the door shut. She saved 85% of break points faced in the deciding set, while Navarro saved only 33% in that frame. Those numbers turned partial momentum for Navarro on return into half-chances rather than breaks. Service games finished 10 won for Pegula and 9 for Navarro overall, but the timing mattered more than the total. Pegula’s five service holds in the final set included four in a row when the match hung in the balance.

Shotmaking: winners, errors and how the baseline battle swung

From the back of the court, Pegula had the cleaner edge. She hit 31 total winners to Navarro’s 25 and led the forehand category 17 to 11. Her backhand sprayed more errors overall, 31 to Navarro’s 18, but the American No. 3 seed offset that with a superior forehand performance and better net touches. Pegula also tallied more volley winners, 3 to 1, a small but useful margin.

Unforced errors ended close, with Pegula at 29 and Navarro at 31. Total errors were 46 to 49, again a narrow gap that reflected longer rallies on a lively hard court. Groundstroke winners favored Pegula 22 to 16, showing where most of the damage came from. Momentum-wise, Pegula’s top run was 4 games in a row, while Navarro’s best was 3. With no tiebreaks to compress variance, steady margins on winners and return points were enough to carry the day.

Set-by-set flow at Arthur Ashe

Set 1 went 6-3 to Navarro as she cashed two of her chances and kept Pegula under the gun on serve despite the No. 3 seed winning plenty on return. Both players’ early double faults helped create a choppy rhythm, and Navarro’s best run of 3 games laid the groundwork. Set 2 flipped to Pegula 6-4, driven by improved first-serve points and a 46% rate on first-serve returns. She saved fewer break points in that set because she faced fewer.

The decider was the cleanest chapter for Pegula. She won 6-3 with a dominant 24 service points won and 6 of 7 break points saved. Navarro actually collected 17 receiver points in the set, but too many of those came in ultimately held Pegula service games. Add it up and Pegula finished with 111 total points to 102, the scoreboard moving 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 to send the No. 3 seed forward. It was a tight quarterfinal on paper, settled by return pressure, first-serve reliability, and superior clutch play.

For more detailed numbers from this US Open quarterfinal, including live score flow and the post-match Sofascore Rating, visit the Sofascore match page. If you enjoy dissecting tennis stats on hard courts, this one has a bit of everything.